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Energy East

   

Energy East (EAS)

6/28/2007

 

 

Current Price:                      $24.16                  Outlook:

Three-Month Target Price:  $27.00                               Although Energy East may be a strong long-term hold; I am only looking at the short-term technical analysis indicators. Energy East seems like the perfect stock to make a quick buck. All technical Analysis indicators point to a buy. EAS is rebounding from a 52 week low and with no earnings reports coming up soon, there is nothing to worry about along the lines of a sudden drop in price.

 

Profile:

Energy East operates energy companies in four states on the East Coast. EAS engages in transmission, distribution, storage and generation of electricity in Upstate New York, Connecticut, Main and Massachusetts.  EAS serves approximately 2 million companies. The stock itself is prone to quick fluctuations. I believe the next trend will be an upward trend.

 

EAS Vs. Competitors

 

EAS

ED

KSE

Pvt1

Industry

Market Cap:

3.57B

10.58B

7.05B

N/A

2.94B

Employ­ees:

6,114

14,537

9,700

9,0181

3.60K

Qtrly Rev Growth (yoy):

16.90%

42.50%

36.20%

N/A

18.20%

Revenue (ttm):

5.30B

11.69B

7.60B

7.85B1

3.67B

Gross Margin (ttm):

38.00%

28.15%

22.31%

N/A

28.15%

EBITDA (ttm):

1.08B

2.11B

1.30B

N/A

612.68M

Oper Margins (ttm):

13.08%

13.02%

11.73%

N/A

9.99%

Net Income (ttm):

256.83M

732.00M

396.40M

N/A

135.61M

EPS (ttm):

1.742

2.938

2.272

N/A

1.37

P/E (ttm):

13.87

14.68

17.77

N/A

16.89

PEG (5 yr expected):

3.15

4.00

4.10

N/A

2.67

P/S (ttm):

0.67

0.90

0.93

N/A

1.02

 

 

 

 

ED = Consolidated Edison Inc.

KSE = KeySpan Corp.

Pvt1 = National Grid USA (subsidiary or division)

Industry = Diversified Utilities

1 = As of 2004  

 

Market Cap aside, EAS has the best fundamental analysis ratios of all of its competitors. It has a low P/S and P/E. Its gross operating margin is almost 50% higher than its competitors.

 

 

Other Fundamental Analysis Indicators

 

Market Cap (intraday):

3.57B

Enterprise Value (29-Apr-06)3:

7.37B

The actual value of the company far outnumbers the Market Cap. This is a good sign of Long Term strength. I think that you will see EAS in the Perfect Portfolio several times over the course of the next year.

 

Total Cash Per Share (mrq):

2.119

Total Debt (mrq):

4.11B

Total Debt/Equity (mrq):

1.432

The only weak point of EAS is its Balance Sheet. It has more debt than equity, always a bad sign. However, the D/E ratio has edged downward in recent years. The cash per share of EAS is pathetic at best and the Total Debt is incredible.

 

Forward Annual Dividend Yield5:

4.80%

A redeeming quality of EAS is its high Dividend. This will make up for any loss.

 

ChartTechnical Analysis

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EAS recently hit a break out point. It is edging back up from its 52-week low. MACD and W%R predict possible gains. These two indicators are inconclusive. The biggest indicator in favor of buying EAS is the Parabolic SAR.

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